Russia invasion of Ukraine

[Ithekro]

Do not taunt Happy Funtime Poland.

[ramlaen]

https://www.reuters.com/world/poland...an-2022-11-16/

Initial findings suggest that the missile that hit Poland was fired by Ukrainian forces at an incoming Russian missile, Associated Press reported on Wednesday, citing U.S. officials.

[mangamuscle]

Originally Posted by ramlaen

https://www.reuters.com/world/poland...an-2022-11-16/

Which is something I simply can't get my head around. If the russian misile came from the east, the failed interception should have landed on Ukranian soil. Likewise, if the missile came from the north, a failed intercept would have landed in Ukraine or belarus.

Seems to me they are downplaying it (like the russian attack on the nordstream pipeline, which is esential infraestructure). But remember, once is bad luck, twice is coincidence, thrice is a coordinated enemy operation.

[Yu Ominae]

https://www.bellingcat.com/news/uk-a...es-on-ukraine/

https://www.bellingcat.com/resources...gramming-team/

Couple of Bellingcat articles on investigating military officers/engineers responsible for the coordination of missile strikes that struck civilian facilities/residences.

They're assigned at either Russian MOD or at Main Computation Centre of the General Staff or GVC.

[mangamuscle]

When might Ukraine run out of artillery and how many rounds can the US give to Ukraine?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drGQZ2KQMfo

tl;dr literal sock puppet. The Allies (USA mostly) can supply Ukraine with artillery shells for about another year. What the video doesn't mention is that chances are that russia is running out of ammo faster and that is why they are so desperate for peace negotiations aka pause the conflict to get more ammo. Because the moment thy run out of ammo, their army is good as nonexistant, this is not dungeons & dragons when you can swing a sword week after week and that is good enough, artillery does not run on magic.

The thing is, even if there is a pause in the conflict, with the sanctions in place there is no way russia can rebuild their military, they do not have the money nor the required technology in their own military complex, so for them "peace negotiations" also means "unilateral lifting of santions".

But hey, lets suppose russians do get their cake and eat it, it will take many years for them to rebuild their ammo stokpile to pre-war levels, even the USA is running low on artillery ammo as it is and in the meantime russia would not doubt continue to hit critical Ukranian infraestructure to cripple their economy.

[AnimeFan188]

Originally Posted by mangamuscle

When might Ukraine run out of artillery and how many rounds can the US give to Ukraine?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drGQZ2KQMfo

tl;dr literal sock puppet. The Allies (USA mostly) can supply Ukraine with artillery shells for about another year. What the video doesn't mention is that chances are that russia is running out of ammo faster and that is why they are so desperate for peace negotiations aka pause the conflict to get more ammo. Because the moment thy run out of ammo, their army is good as nonexistant, this is not dungeons & dragons when you can swing a sword week after week and that is good enough, artillery does not run on magic.

The thing is, even if there is a pause in the conflict, with the sanctions in place there is no way russia can rebuild their military, they do not have the money nor the required technology in their own military complex, so for them "peace negotiations" also means "unilateral lifting of santions".

But hey, lets suppose russians do get their cake and eat it, it will take many years for them to rebuild their ammo stokpile to pre-war levels, even the USA is running low on artillery ammo as it is and in the meantime russia would not doubt continue to hit critical Ukranian infraestructure to cripple their economy.

More ammo will be coming from South Korea:

"The U.S. will buy 100,000 rounds of howitzer artillery from South Korean manufacturers to provide to Ukraine, a U.S. official said Thursday, in a deal the two governments have been working on for some time."

See:

https://apnews.com/article/russia-uk...cfce5f0df1c28f

[Yu Ominae]

Can't wait for Seoul to start denying it again.

[ramlaen]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/media...ussia-missile/

The Associated Press on Monday fired a national security reporter who had provided erroneous information about a missile strike in Poland last week that resulted in a widely circulated but inaccurate news alert and story suggesting Russia was responsible for the incident.

James LaPorta, 35, was terminated after a brief investigation, people at the news organization confirmed to The Washington Post.

[Yu Ominae]

Saw Russian state TV mention that Kazakhstan has Nazis.

[mangamuscle]

Originally Posted by Yu Ominae

Saw Russian state TV mention that Kazakhstan has Nazis.

You can bet that the very next day putin gets a ceasefire for his invasion in Ukraine, he will invade Kazakhstan and place the actual president's head on a pike on the public square. He can't win in Ukraine, but he can get a win elsewhere just in time for the farce he likes to call "elections".

[AnimeFan188]

US stopped Poland giving Ukraine MiG-29 jets in secret deal with China - media reports

"In particular, it was agreed that if the United States stopped the MiG deal, Beijing’s generals would do their best to defuse Putin’s nuclear threat at the operational level, Matthews wrote."

See:

https://news.yahoo.com/us-stopped-po...124100005.html

[mangamuscle]

Russia Planned To Attack Japan in 2021: Leaked FSB Letters

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-plan...etters-1762133

So, in a parallel reality it would have been Japan and not Ukraine on the receiving end of putin's long range artillery and missiles.

[Ithekro]

Considering that Japan is a direct US ally with part of the Seventh Fleet stationed there, I don't see how well such an idea wouldn't lead to a massive amount of Russians on the receiving end of American retribution.

[mangamuscle]

Originally Posted by Ithekro

Considering that Japan is a direct US ally with part of the Seventh Fleet stationed there, I don't see how well such an idea wouldn't lead to a massive amount of Russians on the receiving end of American retribution.

two words: president trump

[Ithekro]

Even with Trump I don't see that going down without retribution. Traditional Republicans would be for returning the favor.

[ramlaen]

Originally Posted by mangamuscle

two words: president trump

You are now aware the US military killed several hundred Russian soldiers in Syria during the Trump admin.

[mangamuscle]

Originally Posted by ramlaen

You are now aware the US military killed several hundred Russian soldiers in Syria during the Trump admin.

*tsk* *tsk* *tsk* Wagner Mercenaries, not the same thing.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Khasham

[ramlaen]

Originally Posted by mangamuscle

*tsk* *tsk* *tsk* Wagner Mercenaries, not the same thing.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Khasham

A military force made up of Russians, under Russian control, that allows deniability and avoids Russian law on sending its military outside its borders.

[AnimeFan188]

What might have been:


Vladimir Putin Wanted To ‘Attack’ Japan, Before He Chose To Invade Ukraine – Claims Alleged FSB Whistleblower

"In the letter, the whistleblower alleges that in August 2021, Russia was seriously preparing for a localized military conflict with Japan. He suggested that Russia instead chose to launch an invasion inside Ukraine months later."

"“They sort of swapped out Japan for Ukraine,” Sushko told Newsweek. “And both of them, right, they’re just insane. Just take the things that Russia was considering [before] attacking Japan; it’s insane, as is the fact that Russia attacked Ukraine is insane. It’s insanity.”"

See:

https://eurasiantimes.com/vladimir-p...-japan-before/

&

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-plan...etters-1762133

[Key Board]

Covid brain fog theory seems more plausible if true

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