2010-06-04, 04:46 | Link #41 |
Lore Hunter
|
Working! gathered 1500+ images on Pixiv by ep 3, which average shows may not manage even after 12 eps. It is certain that it's very popular. Angel beats took some time for Japan to warm up to, but now it's doing exceedingly well (thanks to Kanade). Mind you... Durarara has... 54700 vs 3300 (Working!) Pixiv images as of today because there are a LOT of IzayaxShizuru images.
As for that poll, that's almost certainly Yui from K-ON, who has ridiculous popularity that I cannot really understand. Yui-nyan is nowhere near that popular, though she does have some weight.
__________________
|
2010-06-04, 07:47 | Link #42 |
わかんないよ
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: +8 GMT
|
I just realized that Mio lost against Kana last year. I guess K-On fans would rely more on Yui and Asuza if it was based on last year's results.... and since Yui came close to winning last year, I wouldn't be surprised if she wins this year (considering how popular K-On! is).
EDIT: Too bad no Saki this time.... or are they still included??
__________________
|
2010-06-04, 07:57 | Link #43 |
Lore Hunter
|
Saki was a 26 ep series that spanned across Spring and Summer. That should mean it's qualified going by old rules. Let's wait to see the actual rules before speculating seriously.
Still, don't forget the old assassination rule - popular characters are at risk of being killed off early by deliberate focus fire from supporters of all other popular characters. Doesn't always happen (or succeed if it does), but it can.
__________________
|
2010-06-04, 08:02 | Link #44 |
わかんないよ
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: +8 GMT
|
Ahh yes.. quite true. I guess it's safe to say that Mio was assassinated last year, and Yui might get assassinated this year. It's good to know that Saki might still qualify, got quite a lot of characters i like in that show.
__________________
|
2010-06-04, 16:19 | Link #45 | |
Cutengu
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Shameimaru's lap
|
Quote:
- Umineko: Most of the female cast? 7 Stakes + 5 Witches + 4 Aunts + 2 Cousins + 1 Maid + 1 Demon + 3 Bunnygirls + 1 Little Sister = 24 Darkhorses (at least).
__________________
Last edited by Aya Reiko; 2010-06-04 at 16:38. |
|
2010-06-04, 17:47 | Link #46 |
Lore Hunter
|
Oh yeah, Umineko definitely does qualify for this year. Darn it's hard to remember when an anime adaptation came out when the source material has been constantly released for years. Still, not all characters are equal - "dark horse" in the sense of "hasn't been seen before" yes, but just having powerful series mojo alone doesn't make you a serious contender. As things get serious, only a handful of Umineko girls/women/witches will be worth considering. Then again, which girls those would be I'm not certain of as the source material has gone beyond the anime.
__________________
|
2010-06-04, 20:50 | Link #47 | |
Ass connoisseur
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Florida
Age: 37
|
Quote:
Japan loves loli Nanofate and that's what the movie gave them.
__________________
|
|
2010-06-13, 18:11 | Link #49 |
The Movie is Coming
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Unibesidad ng Komunistang Pilipino
|
Ah, I've been heavily anticipating this tournament, especially since ISML has been... displeasing as of late.
Saimoe 2010 looks to be one of the most exciting Jsaimoe yet. Off the top of my head, a short series analysis of some of the fandoms I've been following (assuming that the banlist will still be in force this year): K-On!!: Its back and this it'll be showing throughout most of the tournament. While K-On! as a faction did pretty poorly last year, it still was able to push Yui all the way into the finals. Character strength probably goes Yui>Mio>Azusa>(big gap)>Ritsu=Mugi, with Ui somewhere within the lower edges of that gap Haruhi: Nagato will be huge a threat this year due to the disappearance movie. Haruhi herself isn't as big of a threat but she still should be able to win a few rounds. Mikuru will probably be used to hate vote someone strong and abandoned next round. Angel Beats!: Took some time to build up steam in Japan but looks like it'll be stronger than Index last year at least, probably going all the way into champ level. Main two threats are Tenshi and Yurippe, other characters are negligible unless they go all Saki level faction voting this year. Railgun: The strongest character of Index gets her own series. Mikoto's strength is rather variable, but she should reach group finals at least. Other character shouldn't be able go farther than w/e Mikoto reaches, so long as matchups are decent Saki: Should still be a force but it'll probably be weaker this year, since its no longer show plus the fact that it dominated a little too much Hayate no Gotoku: Main threats are Hina and Nagi. Strength level is kinda unclear right now but it should be weaker this year. In other words I'm not expecting much but won't be really surprised if they start tearing up the brackets. Bakemonogatari: The show that outsold the first season of K-On should be at least a decent contender this year but more data is needed before deciding whether its champion level. Early Japanese polls suggest Nadeko>Hitagi, with the rest of the character around Mikuru's level Fate/Stay Night: The fact this can only qualify via a movie means that it relies a lot on preexisting strength. And it was strong. But the question is, have Saber and friends retained their old strength? Nanoha: Same situation with Fate/stay Night, except that it looks like Fate and Nanoha have indeed retained much of their old strength. I personally want B Gata H Kei and Sora no Woto to do well but I don't think they'll be an important factor in the tournament. Hidamari Sketch should be factor but I don't think it'll do as good as I want it to do. |
2010-06-13, 18:18 | Link #50 |
Ass connoisseur
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Florida
Age: 37
|
Why does qualifying from a movie mean that? Yuki might be able to get in via Haruhi second season as well, but that season certainly isn't what will boost her; it's the movie.
The only question is whether most of the Japanese Saimoe voters have watched the movie in theaters, or are waiting for BD and DvD release.
__________________
|
2010-06-13, 18:27 | Link #51 |
Lore Hunter
|
I would say most Japanese Saimoe voters have read the novels and are aware of even Kuyoh. Anyway, I submit that the recent surge/spam of Yui shots in Pixiv suggest she'll be a lot stronger than people give her credit for right now. I also ponder at Saten Ruiko's chances (certainly better than Kuroko or the other girl... gosh darn so forgetable...), though yeah it's not gonna be like Mikoto's stats.
I guess I'll get the wiki set up later this week.
__________________
|
2010-06-13, 19:32 | Link #52 | ||
Senior Member
Join Date: May 2009
|
Quote:
Quote:
|
||
2010-06-14, 00:17 | Link #53 |
Gamilas Falls
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Republic of California
Age: 46
|
We'll see if they try to assassinate Mio again this year...or even Yuki...though Yuki is a proven quantity...at least against Haruhi and Mikuru.
The only thing really missing from the 2006 Saimoe this year is the Rozen Maidens.
__________________
|
2010-06-14, 02:53 | Link #54 | ||
Senior Member
Join Date: May 2009
|
Quote:
I dunno, I'm having a feeling that the girls who get far will be the ones who are at least decently popular, yet not popular enough to have tons of haters. Not a very credible theory, I know, but seeing how Mio lost to Boss last year got me thinking. Quote:
Last edited by Kudryavka; 2010-06-14 at 03:03. |
||
2010-06-14, 03:50 | Link #57 |
Ass connoisseur
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Florida
Age: 37
|
I don't believe polls like that are legit. That's like half of all otaku in Japan voting in that poll.
If it's not being completely overwhelmed by proxies, my guess is one i.p. can vote once every day. That's how they do it on 2ch polls. But those 2ch polls only make it to 4k in the span of a month. Like so: http://www.vote-web.jp/cgi-bin/read....me/1000000051/
__________________
|
2010-06-14, 04:02 | Link #58 | ||
わかんないよ
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: +8 GMT
|
Quote:
Quote:
EDIT: @Demi that poll seems more believable, but it's still Tenshi winning by 17%
__________________
|
||
Tags |
2010, saimoe |
|
|