2015-06-16, 23:56 | Link #1 |
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Join Date: Jan 2008
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Future Geopolitics
Stratfor has 11 chilling predictions for what the world will look like a
decade from now: "The private intelligence firm Strategic Forecasting, or Stratfor, recently published its Decade Forecast in which it projects the next 10 years of global political and economic developments. In many ways, Stratfor thinks the world of 10 years from now will be more dangerous place, with US power waning and other prominent countries experiencing a period of chaos and decline." See: http://www.businessinsider.com/strat...ow-2015-6?op=1 What other Geopolitical changes can we expect in the future? |
2015-06-17, 03:20 | Link #3 |
The old ace of Arlington
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Plain of Doleful Melody - ANI
Age: 36
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US abrsorb Canada, Mexico into a whole Union/Federation for better management of resources ( Oil, minerals ).
Eu expand and absorb more countries that have border with Russia. Middle east become worse with more country-splitting, ethnic conflict. Asia grow bigger with the addition of Australia and Newzealand, China take their first economy crisis and lose some control over Tibet...That's all I can think for now
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2015-06-17, 05:33 | Link #4 | |
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Join Date: Jun 2013
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2016-01-02, 20:37 | Link #6 |
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Join Date: Jan 2008
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The World in 2035: Britain’s Frightening Forecast:
"Britain's Ministry of Defense has released a new forecast of what the world will look like in 2035, and it doesn't seem a friendly place for the UK, let alone the U.S. The report, titled "Future Operating Environment 2035," is also interesting as a look at the world through the eyes of a former imperial superpower managing the decline of its power." See: http://nationalinterest.org/feature/...forecast-14783 |
2016-03-08, 00:15 | Link #7 |
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Join Date: Jan 2008
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The Hollow State Politics: The Left Behinds vs.
Technorati: "The western-style democratic nation-state is in deep decline. As I've been warning for nearly a decade, the nation-state as we've known it is rapidly hollowing out. Simply, this century's spike in globalization, financialization, and technological change is gutting it and there's nothing that can be done about it. Further, this decline isn't a secret anymore. It's real and tangible and visible -- it's playing out in US politics right now." See: http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/...echnorati.html If the nation-state goes away, what replaces it? |
2017-06-18, 17:55 | Link #8 |
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Join Date: Jan 2008
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Game Changer:
"A number of recent articles have argued that America -- and the post WW2 order -- is broken. Ian Bremmer, the president of Eurasia Group, a political-risk consultancy wrote that the "Pax Americana, the stabilizing role played by the U.S. superpower, is no more. The G-Zero era—where no one country (or constellation of countries) is willing or able to assume the responsibility of global leadership—is now officially upon us. And it’s already wreaking havoc." The phrase "G-Zero" is a play off the slogan of the G-20, which assumed the world could be led by a small elite of countries. In a G-Zero world no one is in charge of "the world"." "If people go their separate ways such a divorce would be an astonishing defeat for the Left. For the first time since 1917 it would be giving up its claim to guide the entire in order to settle for parts. As late as 2016 it was possible to imagine an America led to a "progressive" future by Hillary Clinton; an EU guiding all of Europe to a similar destiny and the G20 taking the whole world to the same destination. Indeed everyone told they were fated to follow an Arc of History. Yet after Brexit, Trump and G-Zero it is no longer possible to visualize this outcome. A blue-red division would confirm the failure to create a "progressive" world. No conceivable rollback will ever put Humpty Dumpty together again." See: https://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez.../game-changer/ |
2017-06-29, 16:20 | Link #9 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Jan 2008
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Bal Masqué:
"There's an arms race between the centralized Internet of Things and the decentralized world of peer-to-peer everything, where all parties wear masks. By extension, it is also a contest between one world order and its challenger. It's a close fight between the decentralizers and the centralizers. There is much good in this: privacy; the gig economy; Jack Ma's attempt to create a peer-to-peer business platform "connecting small business enterprises in remote, rural and under-developed regions of China directly to the global market place" to name a few." "But for all the good it might do, the same technology can power ISIS and cyberwarfare. It cuts in both directions. In good and bad ways the 21st century may see a shift in power between the Westphalian states and individuals/affinity groups, in favor of the latter. Perhaps we're already seeing this in the fracturing of 20th-century political monoliths like the EU and to some extent, the United States. It is becoming increasingly easy for factions to live among, listen to and do business exclusively among themselves and ignore the others except as they have to trade with them. Some former state functions -- telecommunications and postal services most notably -- are no longer the province of the State. The cellphone revolution was the first blow. In time, more traditional public sector roles may migrate in the same way. Perhaps the only residual State function will be the provision of physical security. This will lead to a new political architecture consisting of full countries, part countries and very powerful affinity groups. Countries which ensure peace within their borders will have local sovereignty. States which guarantee the order of the Global Commons, notably the oceans and the information highways, will remain the only true great powers. Countries which cannot provide internal security will effectively cease to be sovereign, though they may fly a flag." See: https://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez...28/bal-masque/ |
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