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Old 2021-12-03, 17:50   Link #4
Jaden
Senior Member
 
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Quote:
No, Russia is not going to invade Ukraine.
What do they even need Ukraine for? Ukraine is worthless.
The only thing that Russia wants is Crimea and they already have it.
I don't really believe Putin is planning any invasions, either.

But with your logic we should also ask: Why did they want Crimea so badly? Russians had easy access to it before, and they suffered lots of sanctions in exchange for little value. The whole affair had some "we take it because we can" energy, it was a show of strength that was popular domestically.

So they could try similar things elsewhere - incite rebellion in some border region by subverting the local Russian speaking population or some other group, declare that territory their protectorate, then roll in the tanks to crush opposition. Could be in Ukraine, or maybe Belarus or even like Estonia. And that kind of manuever could easily spark a war.
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