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Whether Pearl Harbor had worked or not, I think another factor to be considered is whether the Japanese would be able to hold onto their newly-acquired territory. The inability to win the hearts (or at least co-operation) of its new subjects means it would have to worry about sabotage and civil unrest, both which would test the fidelity of its defenses. Effort and resources that could have be directed towards the enemy without would be wasted on flushing out those within.
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