Quote:
Originally Posted by Vexx
The concern is over how much of the population is of which age group ... not necessarily the total number of everyone.
You need a little sine wave of births to provide an overall stability in the prime working healthy age groups (say 20-65yrs). Right now, the birth rate suggests a population crash with too many elderly and not enough taxpayers.
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Yup, but as the figures I gave indicate, the change will happen extremely fast.And so far, it has no reason to stop.The economic and social conditions that are responsible for this situation aren't going to change by a miracle.To reverse the situation requires dramatic shifts in attitudes toward women on the workplace, child care, emigration and dozens of other issues.Otherwise, the demographic evolution has no reason to change.At least it will be in good company.Italy and dozens of other countries(including China) will follow Japan's "lead" quickly.
@Decagon, here is the source:
http://www.stat.go.jp/English/data/handbook/c02cont.htm .If you don't want to hunt for it, just go on the wikipedia page for Japan.Japan fertility(1.29) rate is far below the replacement threshold(2.1).Of course, they are only projections.We don't know what will happen in the future, trends can change very quickly but at least it tells us that something will have to change.
Apparently, Aso decided to please some political allies since he doesn't expect the governement to last.Some believes that a general election is very likely before the end of the year.We will see...